← Field Notes
·18 August 2026·4 min read

AI for Regional Small Business: Costs Up, Nobody to Hire

Regional small business costs rose for 87% and profits fell for 73% last year (COSBOA/CommBank). And 87% can't fill roles. When you can't hire, AI adds capacity.

Profits fell for 73 per cent of Australia's regional small businesses over the past year. Expenses rose for 87 per cent. And of the businesses that tried to hire, 87 per cent couldn't fill the role. When you can't raise prices and you can't find staff, one lever is left: getting more out of the team you already have.

That's the squeeze laid out in the 2026 Small Business Perspectives Report, released on 24 July by COSBOA and the Commonwealth Bank. It's also the clearest case yet for why AI has stopped being optional for an operator in Toowoomba or Tamworth.

The report — COSBOA's fifth annual, and the first focused entirely on regional, rural and remote Australia — surveyed 572 business owners through independent researcher Survey Matters. The picture is a margin vice. Alongside the 87 per cent reporting higher costs and 73 per cent reporting lower profit, 37 per cent named fuel as a significant or critical financial pressure and a quarter pointed to regulation and compliance. Only 18 per cent expect profit to improve in the year ahead. Nearly eight in ten owners — 77 per cent — reported business-related stress or anxiety.

The report is direct about the way out. It frames AI as one of the largest opportunities regional operators have to lift productivity, and warns that those who don't adopt risk falling behind. Owners are already spending on efficiency where they can — 21 per cent are investing in energy upgrades — but the labour line is the one they can't fix by hiring.

87%

Saw expenses rise

Past 12 months

73%

Saw profit fall

Only 18% expect improvement

87%

Couldn't fill a role

Of those that tried to hire

For a regional business, the maths is unforgiving. Your customers are price-sensitive and your competitors are down the road, so passing higher costs straight through isn't an option. The local labour pool is thin — 87 per cent couldn't fill a role — so buying capacity by hiring isn't either. That leaves output per person. Every hour a technician, bookkeeper or office manager spends on quoting, invoicing, chasing parts or returning missed calls is an hour not billed — and in a trade at a loaded rate of $65 to $95 an hour, it's margin walking out the door.

This is where AI earns its place — not on the tools, but around them. An AI receptionist that answers the after-hours calls a lean team misses. Quotes drafted from a job photo instead of an evening at the kitchen table. Invoices and reconciliations that used to eat a Saturday. None of it replaces the tradie or the accountant; it hands back the hours a business would otherwise have to hire for — which is the whole point when there's no one to hire. It's the same lever we wrote about when Australia came up 83,000 tradies short: AI doesn't fill the vacancy, it shrinks the need for it.

Not sure which hour in your week is the one to hand back first? See where your business is most exposed before you spend a dollar on software.

Want to know what this means for your business? We'll map it in one call.

Book a call →

The report's optimism about AI is warranted, and there's public support to lean on. The federally funded AI Adopt Centres run free readiness assessments and training for eligible SMEs, and it's worth taking if you can get it — we've written about what those centres do and who qualifies. But a readiness assessment is a plan, not a running system. The centres will tell you where AI could help; wiring it into how your crew actually quotes, schedules and invoices — and proving it pays inside 90 days — is the part that moves the margin. The plan is the cheap half.

Don't "adopt AI". Pick the single workflow where a delay already costs you money — the unanswered phone, the slow quote, the invoice that goes out a week late — and put AI on that one thing, end to end. Measure it in dollars, not hours saved, within a quarter. In a year where three in four regional businesses watched their profit shrink, the ones that widen the gap between cost and output — one workflow at a time — are the ones that come out the other side.

Key takeaways

Profits fell for 73% of Australia's regional small businesses and costs rose for 87% over the past year, per the 2026 COSBOA/CommBank Small Business Perspectives Report (572 owners).
87% of regional businesses that tried to recruit couldn't fill the role — so extra capacity can't come from hiring.
With prices capped by local competition and staff impossible to find, output per person is the remaining lever — the case for putting AI on admin-heavy workflows.
Free government AI Adopt Centre assessments help, but a readiness plan isn't an implementation; the margin moves when AI is wired into real workflows and measured in dollars within 90 days.

Common questions

What did the 2026 COSBOA regional small business report find?

That regional small businesses are in a margin squeeze: 87 per cent saw expenses rise and 73 per cent saw profit fall over the past year, while 87 per cent of those recruiting couldn't fill the role. Only 18 per cent expect profit to improve in the next 12 months. It's based on 572 regional owners surveyed for COSBOA and the Commonwealth Bank.

How can AI help a regional small business that can't hire?

When you can't raise prices and can't find staff, the remaining lever is output per person. AI on admin-heavy workflows — answering missed calls, drafting quotes, reconciling invoices — hands back hours you'd otherwise have to hire for. It shrinks the need for a role rather than filling the vacancy.

Is there free government AI help for small businesses?

Yes — the federally funded AI Adopt Centres run free readiness assessments and training for eligible SMEs, and it's worth taking. But an assessment is a plan, not a working system; the return comes when AI is actually wired into how you quote, schedule and invoice, and measured in dollars.

Sources

Commonwealth Bank — Regional small businesses under pressure as costs, workforce shortages and service gaps deepen (COSBOA Small Business Perspectives Report 2026)

COSBOA / CommBank — Small Business Perspectives Report 2026 (PDF)

Assumptions & methodology
  1. Cost, profit, recruitment, fuel, regulation, optimism and stress figures — 87% higher expenses, 73% lower profit, 87% recruitment difficulty, 37% fuel pressure, 25% regulation/compliance pressure, 18% expecting profit improvement, 77% reporting business-related stress — are from the 2026 COSBOA/Commonwealth Bank Small Business Perspectives Report, released 24 July 2026, based on 572 regional, rural and remote small business owners surveyed by Survey Matters.
  2. The report's framing of AI as a major productivity opportunity, and the 21% investing in energy upgrades, are drawn from the report and CommBank's newsroom coverage of it. The $65–95/hour loaded-rate figure is a standard Australian trades labour cost range used across our field notes, not a figure from this report.

Related notes

ShareLinkedInEmail

Field Notes are general commentary on AI trends for Australian businesses. They don’t constitute professional advice. Talk to your accountant, lawyer, or IT adviser before acting on anything specific to your situation — or talk to us if you want help working out where AI fits.

Don't miss the next one

Get each new Field Note in your inbox as it publishes — short, practical AI intelligence for business owners.

Where's the hour AI could hand back to your business?

A 30-minute call maps the one workflow most likely to pay for itself — the admin drag you can't hire your way out of. Book a call to find where to start.

Book a call →